Sunday, February 24, 2013

Oscar Predictions 2013

So tonight are the Oscars - the second best night of the year (next to nominations day, of course) - and here are my annual thoughts, likes, and predictions for 2013. What's really exciting about tonight is that many of the major and minor categories are incredibly unpredictable. That's so rare. The main categories that you can't be too sure about are Best Director, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and both the writing categories. I feel like the snub of Ben Affleck for a Best Director nomination really threw off a lot of people and my picks this year reflect that off-balanced angst. Expect upsets. I think the Academy is going to really reward Michael Haneke and his foreign film, Amour.

BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR
The Only One to Win: ARGO
Close, Pero No Cigar: No one.
Happy to Put "Nominated for Best Picture" on the DVD: LINCOLN, LIFE OF PI, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK, AMOUR, LES MISERABLES, DJANGO UNCHAINED, ZERO DARK THIRTY, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
If I Had My Way: ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
I'm Crazy, But I Think: Michael Haneke for AMOUR will win.
So, So, Soooo Close: Ang Lee for LIFE OF PI and Steven Spielberg for LINCOLN
Crazy Close Too: David O. Russell for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
No Chance in Hell: Benh Zeitlin for BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
If I Had My Way: Michael Haneke!

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Best Chance: Daniel Day-Lewis in LINCOLN
Could Be, Could Be: Hugh Jackman in LES MISERABLES
I Mean, Probably Not: Bradley Cooper in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
No Chance: Joaquin Phoenix in THE MASTER and Denzel Washington in FLIGHT
If I Had My Way: Bradley Cooper would take it home.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
I'm Going With: Emmanuelle Riva in AMOUR
It's So Close For: Jennifer Lawrence in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
She Lost a Lot of Steam: Jessica Chastain in ZERO DARK THIRTY
It Would Be a Major Upset: Naomi Watts in THE IMPOSSIBLE
No Chance: Quevenzhane Wallis in BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
If I Had My Way: Emmanuelle would have a golden man for her 86th birthday.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
I'm Completely Guessing With: Robert De Niro in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
It Could Also Be: Christoph Waltz in DJANGO UNCHAINED or Tommy Lee Jones in LINCOLN
Probably Not: Philip Seymour Hoffman in THE MASTER
No Chance: Alan Arkin in ARGO
If I Had My Way: Robert De Niro.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
The Only Sure Thing: Anne Hathaway in LES MISERABLES
If the Weinsteins Work Their Magic: Jacki Weaver in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Or It Could Be: Helen Hunt in THE SESSIONS
Possibly: Sally Field in LINCOLN
Sorry, but No Chance for the Lovely: Amy Adams in THE MASTER
If I Had My Way: I mean, Anne is the best, but I want Amy Adams to win an Oscar more than I want Shelly DuVall to have a comeback.

BEST WRITING, SCREENPLAY WRITTEN DIRECTLY FOR THE SCREEN
Best Chance: AMOUR by Michael Haneke
So Close: DJANGO UNCHAINED by Quentin Tarantino
If the Controversy Doesn't Affect It: ZERO DARK THIRTY by Mark Boal
Unfortunately Not: MOONRISE KINGDOM by Wes Anderson
No Chance: FLIGHT by John Gatins
If I Had My Way: I'd love to see Wes win.

BEST WRITING, SCREENPLAY BASED ON MATERIAL PREVIOUSLY PRODUCED OR PUBLISHED
Best Chance: ARGO by Chris Terrio
So Close: SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK by David O. Russell
Also So Close: LINCOLN by Tony Kushner
Maybe: LIFE OF PI by David Magee
No Chance: BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD by Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin
If I Had My Way: David O. Russell

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM OF THE YEAR
Best Chance: WRECK-IT RALPH
So Very Close: BRAVE
No Chance: PARANORMAN, FRANKENWEENIE, THE PIRATES! BAND OF MISFITS
And I Don't Really Care Who Wins.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM OF THE YEAR
The Only Chance: AMOUR (Austria)
I Heard It's Great: NO (Chile)
No Chance: A ROYAL AFFAIR (Denmark), KON-TIKI (Norway), and WAR WITCH (Canada)
Of course I want AMOUR to win.

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
Real Quick cuz i'm out of time
LIFE OF PI

BEST EDITING
ARGO

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN I LOVE THIS CATEGORY
LES MIZ

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
ANNA KARENINA MOTHER F*&#ERS

BEST SONG
ADELE SKYFALL

SOUND MIXING
SKYFALL
SOUND EDITING
SKYFALL

VISUAL EFFECTS
LIFE OF PI

BEST DOC
SUGAR MAN

SHOT DOC
RACINE

SHOT ANIMATED
PAPERMAN

SHOT LIVE
CURFEW

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Best of 2012: Film: Directing, Writing, Ensemble, Technical


Kathryn Bigelow, ZERO DARK THIRTY
TOP 10 BEST DIRECTORS
  1. Kathryn Bigelow for ZERO DARK THIRTY
  2. Joe Wright for ANNA KARENINA
  3. Michael Haneke for AMOUR
  4. Paul Thomas Anderson for THE MASTER
  5. Ben Affleck for ARGO
  6. David O. Russell for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
  7. Wes Anderson for MOONRISE KINGDOM
  8. Benh Zeitlin for BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
  9. Sam Mendes for SKYFALL
  10. Ang Lee for LIFE OF PI

Michael Haneke, Emmanuelle Riva, and
Jean-Louis Trintignant, AMOUR
TOP 10 BEST ORGINAL SCREENPLAYS
  1. AMOUR by Michael Haneke
  2. ZERO DARK THIRTY by Mark Boal
  3. THE MASTER by Paul Thomas Anderson
  4. MOONRISE KINGDOM by Wes Anderson
  5. LOOPER by Rian Johnson
  6. DJANGO UNCHAINED by Quentin Tarantino
  7. MAGIC MIKE by Reid Carolin
  8. YOUR SISTER’S SISTER by Lynn Shelton
  9. THE INTOUCHABLES by Olivier Nakache & Eric Toledano
  10. TAKE THIS WALTZ by Sarah Polley

Bradley Cooper, David O. Russell, and
Jennifer Lawrence, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
TOP 10 BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYS
  1. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK by David O. Russell
  2. ANNA KARENINA by Tom Stoppard
  3. THE PERKS OF BEING A WALLFLOWER by Stephen Chbosky
  4. LINCOLN by Tony Kushner
  5. BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD by Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin
  6. ARGO by Chris Terrio
  7. LIFE OF PI by David Magee
  8. SKYFALL by Neal Pervis, Robert Wade, & John Logan
  9. THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN by James Vanderbilt, Alvin Sargent, & Steve Kloves
  10. LES MISÉRABLES by William Nicholson, Alain Boublil, Claude-Michel Schonberg, & Herbert Kretzmer

Ben Affleck and the cast of ARGO at the SAG Awards.
TOP 10 BEST ENSEMBLES
  1. ARGO starring Ben Affleck, Bryan Cranston, Alan Arkin, John Goodman, Christopher Denham, Victor Garber, Tate Donovan, Clea DuVall, Scoot McNairy, Rory Cochrane, Kerry Bishe, Kyle Chandler, Chris Messina, Sheila Vand, and Zeljko Ivanek
  2. LINCOLN starring Daniel Day-Lewis, Sally Field, Tommy Lee Jones, David Strathairn, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, James Spader, Hal Holbrook, John Hawkes, Jackie Earle Haley, Gloria Reuben, Jared Harris, Lee Pace, Gulliver McGrath, Michael Stuhlbarg, Colman Domingo, Elizabeth Marvel, Adam Driver, and S. Epatha Merkerson
  3. ANNA KARENINA starring Keira Knightley, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Jude Law, Alicia Vikander, Kelly Macdonald, Matthew Macfayden, Olivia Williams, Ruth Wilson, and Shirley Henderson
  4. MOONRISE KINGDOM starring Jared Gilman, Kara Hayward, Bruce Willis, Edward Norton, Bill Murray, Frances McDormand, Tilda Swinton, Jason Schwartzman, Bob Balaban, Jake Ryan, Tanner Flood, Wyatt Ralff, Lucas Hedges, Charlie Kilgore, Andreas Sheikh, Chandler Frantz, Rob H. Campbell, L. J. Foley, Gabriel Rush, Seamus Davey-Fitzpatrick, Tommy Nelson, Larry Pine, and Marianna Bassham
  5. ZERO DARK THIRTY starring Jessica Chastain, Jason Clarke, Kyle Chandler, Joel Edgerton, Jennifer Ehle, Reda Kateb, Chris Platt, Harold Perrineau, Mark Duplass, and James Gandolfini
  6. THE MASTER starring Joaquin Phoenix, Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Amy Adams, Laura Dern, Jesse Plemons, Ambyr Childers, and Rami Malek
  7. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK starring Bradley Cooper, Jennifer Lawrence, Robert De Niro, Jacki Weaver, Chris Tucker, Anupam Kher, John Ortiz, Shea Whigham, Dash Mihok, Brea Bee, and Julia Stiles
  8. MAGIC MIKE starring Channing Tatum, Alex Pettyfer, MatthewMcConaughey, Olivia Munn, James Martin Kelly, Cody Horn, Joe Manganiello, and Matt Bomer
  9. TO ROME WITH LOVE starring Woody Allen, Alec Baldwin, Jesse Eisenberg, Greta Gerwig, Penelope Cruz, Ellen Page, Judy Davis, Flavio Parenti, Roberto Benigni, Alison Pill, Alessandro Tiberi, and Alessandra Mastronardi
  10. LES MISÉRABLES starring Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Anne Hathaway, Amanda Seyfried, Eddie Redmayne, Samantha Barks, Aaron Tveit, Sacha Baron Cohen, Helena Bonham Carter, Daniel Huttlestone, and Colm Wilkinson

Roger Deakins, SKYFALL
TOP 10 BEST CINEMATOGRAPHERS
  1. Roger Deakins for SKYFALL
  2. Mihai Malaimare, Jr. for THE MASTER
  3. Seamus McGarvey for ANNA KARENINA
  4. Darius Khondji for AMOUR
  5. Claudio Miranda for LIFE OF PI
  6. Wally Pfister for THE DARK KNIGHT RISES
  7. Rodrigo Prieto for ARGO
  8. Greig Fraser for ZERO DARK THIRTY
  9. Masanobu Takayanagi for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
  10. Janusz Kaminski for LINCOLN

Keira Knightley and costume designer
Jacqueline Durran, ANNA KARENINA
TOP 10 BEST COSTUME DESIGNERS
  1. Jacqueline Durran for ANNA KARENINA
  2. Bob Buck, Ann Maskrey, & Richard Taylor for THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
  3. Paco Delgado for LES MISÉRABLES
  4. Joanna Johnston for LINCOLN
  5. Sharen Davis for DJANGO UNCHAINED
  6. Kasia Walicka-Maimone for MOONRISE KINGDOM
  7. Nic Ede for HYSTERIA
  8. Jacqueline West for ARGO
  9. Margot Wilson for LAWLESS
  10. Lindy Hemming for THE DARK KNIGHT RISES

The soundtrack list of THE PERKS OF
BEING A WALLFLOWER
TOP 10 BEST SCORES/SOUNDTRACKS
  1. Soundtrack of THE PERKS OF BEING A WALLFLOWER
  2. Soundtrack of DJANGO UNCHAINED
  3. Score by Mychael Danna for LIFE OF PI
  4. Score by Alexandre Desplat for MOONRISE KINGDOM
  5. Score by Jonny Greenwood for THE MASTER
  6. Soundtrack of LES MISÉRABLES
  7. Soundtrack of PITCH PERFECT
  8. Score by Dario Marianelli for ANNA KARENINA
  9. Soundtrack of SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
  10. Score by John Williams for LINCOLN

TOP 10 BEST VISUAL/SPECIAL EFFECTS
On set of LIFE OF PI
  1. LIFE OF PI
  2. LOOPER
  3. THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN
  4. ANNA KARENINA
  5. THE DARK KNIGHT RISES
  6. THE IMPOSSIBLE
  7. DJANGO UNCHAINED
  8. THE AVENGERS
  9. THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
  10. SKYFALL
Set design of ANNA KARENINA
TOP 10 BEST ART DIRECTORS/SET DESIGNERS
  1. ANNA KARENINA
  2. BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
  3. MOONRISE KINGDOM
  4. DJANGO UNCHAINED
  5. LES MISERABLES
  6. LINCOLN
  7. THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
  8. HYSTERIA
  9. THE HUNGER GAMES
  10. LIFE OF PI

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